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There's a lively literature on how graded beliefs (credences) relate to ungraded beliefs. Some hold that ungraded beliefs are reducible to credences, others that credences are reducible to ungraded beliefs; yet others hold that both are real and irreducible to one another. I find this debate confusing. By which of course I mean: confused. I'll try to explain why. I'll also comment on one particular proposal, that credences are beliefs about probability; an interestingly new version of this has just been defended in Buchanan and Dogramaci 2026.
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